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There are compelling financial reasons to deploy next-gen PON FTTx networks to support residential subscribers, non-residential subscribers (including SMBs), enterprises, and MBH (mobile backhaul). This report models ROI for four deployment scenarios.


  • XGS-PON can achieve payback in less than four years compared to XG-PON1, with payback in less than eight years, and GPON, which requires more than 15 years. Although the higher price XGS-PON optics and equipment make it more expensive to deploy than XG-PON1 and GPON, higher ARPUs likely subscribers more than compensate.

Features and Benefits

  • Compares ROI for deploying GPON, XG-PON1, XGS-PON, and NG-PON2 based on subscriber scenarios, estimated ODN building costs, and OLT/ONT equipment costs
  • Evaluates the use cases for different types of next-gen GPON, looking at residential and non-residential subscribers.

Key questions answered

  • Does next-gen PON support faster FTTx network monetization? If so, how much faster?
  • Are the higher costs for next-gen PON equipment covered by different use cases?

Table of contents


  • In brief
  • Ovum view
  • Recommendations

Next-gen PON market status

  • Taking longer than expected, but 2016 market is heating up
  • Next-gen PON suppliers include the well-established and new

Monetization scenarios for next-gen PON

  • Background on PON and next-gen PON standards
  • Scenario models

Next-gen PON market outlook

  • Vendors must push towards maturity


  • Methodology
  • Further reading
  • Author

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