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Next-gen PON and particularly 10G PON were major discussion topics at this year’s Optical Fiber Conference (OFC) held in Anaheim in late March


  • Next-gen PON is happening: 10G EPON is shipping and XGS PON is expected to ship later this year. The next-gen PON equipment market will exceed $1.8bn in 2021.

Features and Benefits

  • Analyzes the key segments of the next-gen PON market opportunity, highlighting key subscribers and applications for next-gen PON.
  • Compares and contrasts the next-gen PON market opportunity in North America and China.
  • Discusses why optical component and equipment vendors must focus on quality and a variety of applications beyond residential FTTH.

Key questions answered

  • Why is there interest among optical component and equipment vendors in next-gen PON? How large is the opportunity?
  • What are the key uses for next-gen PON? Who are the subscribers? What are the applications?
  • What are our recommendations for component and equipment vendors? Which vendors will benefit?

Table of contents


  • In brief
  • Ovum view
  • Recommendations

Next-gen PON revenues will grow significantly

  • Meanwhile global non-next-gen PON revenues will fall
  • Next-gen PON revenue opportunity varies by region/country

Network monetization is the catalyst for next-gen

  • Higher-ARPU customers and applications
  • XG-PON1 may re-enter the market

Shift towards high-quality vendors at 10G

  • Fewer vendors, greater focus on quality

Questions continue after OFC

  • Market opportunity leads to further questions


  • Methodology
  • Further reading
  • Author

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