skip to main content
Close Icon We use cookies to improve your website experience.  To learn about our use of cookies and how you can manage your cookie settings, please see our Cookie Policy.  By continuing to use the website, you consent to our use of cookies.
Global Search Configuration

Ovum view

Summary

The broadband access equipment market will remain strong in 2016 following a record-breaking 2015. Many positive factors contribute to Ovum’s forecast, including adoption of new access technologies (including next-gen PON, VDSL vectoring, G.fast, and DOCSIS 3.1), continued FTTH deployments in China, and increased bandwidth competition in the United States.

2016 will see solid sales following a record-breaking 2015

Broadband access equipment vendor revenues approached a forecasted $7.9bn in 2015, a record level representing a 29% increase over 2014. Ovum expects the 2016 market to decline slightly, by 4%, compared to 2015, with total revenues of $7.5bn. Over the longer term, broadband access equipment revenues are forecast to fall at a 2.5% CAGR from 2015 to 2021. The decline is driven by the maturing of FTTH network builds in China and the lack of major new network builds in heavily populated countries such as India.

PON equipment revenues continue to represent the largest segment within the broadband access equipment market throughout the forecast period. The Asia & Oceania region will remain dominant in this segment, although its share of global PON revenues will decline from 76% in 2015 to 66% in 2021 as PON deployments in North America accelerate. The adoption of next-gen PON will ramp over the forecast period: 15% of total PON OLT port shipments will be next-gen PON in 2021.

Total DSL revenues are expected to decline at a CAGR of more than 3% from 2015 to 2021. Within the DSL equipment category, G.fast should be adopted rapidly and will represent 22% of total DSL revenues by 2021 as operators embrace this new copper-based broadband solution. The EMEA region will continue to dominate the consumption of DSL equipment, representing 63% of DSL equipment revenues in 2015, increasing to 69% in 2021.

Total CMTS port revenues are forecast to decline at a CAGR of slightly more than 2% from 2015 to 2021. Adoption of DOCSIS 3.1 is beginning now and will represent over 75% of total CMTS revenues in 2021.

Appendix

Further reading

Broadband Access Equipment Forecast (PON, xDSL, CMTS): 2015–21, TE0006-001186 (February 2016)

Author

Julie Kunstler, Principal Analyst, Components and Intelligent Networks

julie.kunstler@ovum.com

Recommended Articles

  • Enterprise Decision Maker, Enterprise IT Strategy and Select...

    2017 Trends to Watch: Big Data

    By Tony Baer 21 Nov 2016

    The breakout use case for big data will be fast data. The Internet of Things (IoT) is increasing the urgency for enterprises to embrace real-time streaming analytics, as use cases from mobile devices and sensors become compelling to a wide range of industry sectors.

    Topics Big data and analytics IoT

  • Service Provider Technology, Enterprise Decision Maker

    IT services required to smooth the path to automation

    By Kris Szaniawski 17 Jan 2018

    Ovum expects telecoms-specific IT services to be the fastest-growing segment of the telecoms vendor services market, not just this year but also over the next five years, with a CAGR of approximately 7% over the period.

  • Service Provider Technology, Enterprise Decision Maker

    T-Mobile US leverages big data analytics to improve VoLTE experience

    By Adaora Okeleke 09 Mar 2018

    At MWC 2018, network equipment provider Ericsson announced that T-Mobile US is using its Ericsson Expert Analytics platform to deliver improved quality of experience for VoLTE services, as well as for other mobile services.

;

Have any questions? Speak to a Specialist

Europe, Middle East & Africa team - +44 (0) 207 017 7700


Asia-Pacific team - +61 (0)3 960 16700

US team - +1 646 957 8878

+44 (0) 207 551 9047 - Operational from 09.00 - 17.00 UK time

You can also contact your named/allocated Client Services Executive using their direct dial.
PR enquiries - Call us at +44 788 597 5160 or email us at pr@ovum.com

Contact marketing - 
marketingdepartment@ovum.com

Already an Ovum client? Login to the Knowledge Center now