skip to main content
Close Icon

In order to deliver a personalized, responsive service and to improve the site, we remember and store information about how you use it. This is done using simple text files called cookies which sit on your computer. By continuing to use this site and access its features, you are consenting to our use of cookies. To find out more about the way Informa uses cookies please go to our Cookie Policy page.

Global Search Configuration

Ovum view

Summary

The broadband access equipment market will remain strong in 2016 following a record-breaking 2015. Many positive factors contribute to Ovum’s forecast, including adoption of new access technologies (including next-gen PON, VDSL vectoring, G.fast, and DOCSIS 3.1), continued FTTH deployments in China, and increased bandwidth competition in the United States.

2016 will see solid sales following a record-breaking 2015

Broadband access equipment vendor revenues approached a forecasted $7.9bn in 2015, a record level representing a 29% increase over 2014. Ovum expects the 2016 market to decline slightly, by 4%, compared to 2015, with total revenues of $7.5bn. Over the longer term, broadband access equipment revenues are forecast to fall at a 2.5% CAGR from 2015 to 2021. The decline is driven by the maturing of FTTH network builds in China and the lack of major new network builds in heavily populated countries such as India.

PON equipment revenues continue to represent the largest segment within the broadband access equipment market throughout the forecast period. The Asia & Oceania region will remain dominant in this segment, although its share of global PON revenues will decline from 76% in 2015 to 66% in 2021 as PON deployments in North America accelerate. The adoption of next-gen PON will ramp over the forecast period: 15% of total PON OLT port shipments will be next-gen PON in 2021.

Total DSL revenues are expected to decline at a CAGR of more than 3% from 2015 to 2021. Within the DSL equipment category, G.fast should be adopted rapidly and will represent 22% of total DSL revenues by 2021 as operators embrace this new copper-based broadband solution. The EMEA region will continue to dominate the consumption of DSL equipment, representing 63% of DSL equipment revenues in 2015, increasing to 69% in 2021.

Total CMTS port revenues are forecast to decline at a CAGR of slightly more than 2% from 2015 to 2021. Adoption of DOCSIS 3.1 is beginning now and will represent over 75% of total CMTS revenues in 2021.

Appendix

Further reading

Broadband Access Equipment Forecast (PON, xDSL, CMTS): 2015–21, TE0006-001186 (February 2016)

Author

Julie Kunstler, Principal Analyst, Components and Intelligent Networks

julie.kunstler@ovum.com

Recommended Articles

;

Have any questions? Speak to a Specialist

Europe, Middle East & Africa team - +44 (0) 207 017 7700


Asia-Pacific team - +61 (0)3 960 16700

US team - +1 646 957 8878

+44 (0) 207 551 9047 - Operational from 09.00 - 17.00 UK time

You can also contact your named/allocated Client Services Executive using their direct dial.
PR enquiries - Call us at +44 7770704398 or email us at pr@ovum.com

Contact marketing - marketingdepartment@ovum.com

Already an Ovum client? Login to the Knowledge Center now