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Ovum is forecasting a strong optical component (OC) FTTx PON market primarily due to next-gen PON deployments and plans.


  • Next-gen PON OLT and ONT OC revenues are forecast to reach $270m this year (2019) and $2bn in 2024. By 2024, 88% of PON OC revenues will come from next-gen optics.
  • WDM-PON optical components are included in this forecast. In addition, Combo PON optics are shipping.

Features and Benefits

  • This research note summarizes the OC PON forecast, focusing on next-gen PON OLT OCs and next-gen PON ONT OCs.
  • This research note assesses several fundamental changes in the OC PON ecosystem including vertical integration.
  • This research note evaluates ASPs for next-gen PON OLT and ONT OCs.

Key questions answered

  • When will next-gen OLT OCs represent the majority of annual shipments?
  • When will next-gen ONT OCs represent the majority of annual shipments?
  • Will the ASPs for the different types of next-gen 10G PON OLT OCs converge?

Table of contents

Ovum view

  • Summary
  • 10G-PON and WDM-PON drive the OC market
  • Forecasting aggressive adoption of next-gen OLT OCs along with large year-on-year ASP declines
  • Next-gen ONT upgrades will become significant with major ASP declines underway
  • Supply chain changes facilitate lower next-gen PON OC ASPs


  • Further reading
  • Author

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